Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 58.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 18.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.48%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Cerezo Osaka win it was 1-0 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.