Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
