Sagan Tosu
3 - 1
Kawasaki

Iwasaki (3'), Sakai (20'), Koyamatsu (32' pen.)
Nakano (83'), Sagara (90+3')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Damiao (90+1')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Kawasaki Frontale.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 58.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 18.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-0 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Sagan Tosu	Draw	Kawasaki Frontale
18.5%	23.14%	58.35%

Both teams to score 48.81%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.66%

50.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.72%

72.28%

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.78%

41.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.25%

77.75%

Kawasaki Frontale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.04%

16.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.94%

47.05%

Score Analysis

Sagan Tosu 18.5%

Kawasaki Frontale 58.35%

Draw 23.14%

Sagan Tosu	Draw	Kawasaki Frontale
1-0 @ 6.2% 2-1 @ 4.87% 2-0 @ 2.75% 3-1 @ 1.44% 3-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.97% Total : 18.5%	1-1 @ 10.99% 0-0 @ 6.99% 2-2 @ 4.32% Other @ 0.83% Total : 23.14%	0-1 @ 12.4% 0-2 @ 11% 1-2 @ 9.75% 0-3 @ 6.51% 1-3 @ 5.77% 0-4 @ 2.89% 1-4 @ 2.56% 2-3 @ 2.56% 2-4 @ 1.13% 0-5 @ 1.02% 1-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.85% Total : 58.35%