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J1 League | Gameweek 15
May 27, 2023 at 5am UK
Sapporo Atsubetsu Park Stadium

Consadole
1 - 2
Nagoya Grampus

Kaneko (85')
Suga (43'), Tanaka (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Junker (1'), Mateus (55')
Morishita (40'), Nagai (62'), Yonemoto (65'), Langerak (90+6')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Consadole Sapporo and Nagoya Grampus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Consadole 2-1 Kyoto Sanga
Friday, May 19 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Hiroshima
Saturday, May 20 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Consadole Sapporo had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Consadole Sapporo win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result
Consadole SapporoDrawNagoya Grampus
35.08% (-0.942 -0.94) 26.33% (-0.412 -0.41) 38.58% (1.351 1.35)
Both teams to score 53% (1.265 1.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.31% (1.639 1.64)51.69% (-1.641 -1.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.53% (1.406 1.41)73.47% (-1.407 -1.41)
Consadole Sapporo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.79% (0.221 0.22)28.2% (-0.222 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.09% (0.279 0.28)63.9% (-0.281 -0.28)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.82% (1.538 1.54)26.17% (-1.538 -1.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.74% (2.017 2.02)61.25% (-2.018 -2.02)
Score Analysis
    Consadole Sapporo 35.08%
    Nagoya Grampus 38.58%
    Draw 26.33%
Consadole SapporoDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 9.34% (-0.565 -0.57)
2-1 @ 7.93% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.91% (-0.319 -0.32)
3-1 @ 3.34% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.49% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.089 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 35.08%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 7.38% (-0.495 -0.5)
2-2 @ 5.31% (0.18 0.18)
3-3 @ 1% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 9.9% (-0.205 -0.21)
1-2 @ 8.39% (0.234 0.23)
0-2 @ 6.63% (0.145 0.15)
1-3 @ 3.75% (0.26 0.26)
0-3 @ 2.96% (0.189 0.19)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.179 0.18)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.137 0.14)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 38.58%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Consadole 2-1 Kyoto Sanga
Friday, May 19 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 2-4 Consadole
Saturday, May 13 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 5-1 FC Tokyo
Saturday, May 6 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 0-1 Kashima Antlers
Wednesday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama FC 1-4 Consadole
Saturday, April 29 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 2-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, April 23 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Hiroshima
Saturday, May 20 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 2-0 Nagoya Grampus
Sunday, May 14 at 5.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, May 6 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-2 Vissel Kobe
Wednesday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 1-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, April 29 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-2 Shonan Bellmare
Sunday, April 23 at 7am in J1 League


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