Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.
