While Sagan Tosu have experienced a slight upturn in their away record recently, it is difficult to back against the hosts, who have the best home record in the division this season and have not lost at this venue in almost a year. We feel this should be a fairly straightforward three points for the Antlers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 49.47%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 25.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.

Result
Kashima Antlers	Draw	Sagan Tosu
49.47% ( -0.01)	24.67% ( 0)	25.86% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 53.7% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.36% (

0.01)

48.64% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.24% (

0.01)

70.76% (

-0)

Kashima Antlers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.31%

19.69% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.31%

51.68%

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.86% (

0.01)

33.14% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.26% (

0.01)

69.74% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Kashima Antlers 49.47%

Sagan Tosu 25.86%

Draw 24.66%

Kashima Antlers	Draw	Sagan Tosu
1-0 @ 10.6% 2-1 @ 9.52% 2-0 @ 8.62% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.16% 3-0 @ 4.67% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.09% 4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 49.47%	1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 6.53% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.66%	0-1 @ 7.21% 1-2 @ 6.47% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.98% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 25.86%