Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 57.82%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 21.11% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 1-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-2 (5.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Consadole Sapporo	Draw	Sagan Tosu
57.82%	21.06%	21.11% ( 0)

Both teams to score 60.08% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.5% (

0.01)

37.5% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.27% (

0.01)

59.73% (

-0)

Consadole Sapporo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.19% (

12.8% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.88% (

39.12% (

-0)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.9% (

0.01)

31.09% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.58% (

0.01)

67.41% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Consadole Sapporo 57.82%

Sagan Tosu 21.11%

Draw 21.06%

Consadole Sapporo	Draw	Sagan Tosu
2-1 @ 9.82% 2-0 @ 8.41% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.18% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.73% 3-0 @ 5.76% 3-2 @ 3.93% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.46% 4-0 @ 2.96% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.02% 5-1 @ 1.42% 5-0 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 3.9% Total : 57.82%	1-1 @ 9.56% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.98% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.06%	1-2 @ 5.58% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.65% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.7% Total : 21.11%