Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
