J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jun 30, 2024 at 10.30am UK
Grenada National Stadium
We said: FC Tokyo 1-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Although FC Tokyo are above Avispa Fukuoka, the visitors have largely been excellent away from home in the last year under manager Hasebe.
Additionally, given the visitors' strong defensive record, the hosts could find it difficult to create many clear-cut chances on Sunday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 45.63%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 26.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Avispa Fukuoka would win this match.
| Result |
| FC Tokyo | Draw | Avispa Fukuoka |
45.63% ( -0.39) | 27.93% ( 0.31) | 26.44% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 44.72% ( -0.78) |
| 39.47% ( -1.02) | 60.52% ( 1.02) |
| 19.36% ( -0.78) | 80.63% ( 0.78) |
| 73.47% ( -0.66) | 26.53% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.27% ( -0.89) | 61.73% ( 0.89) |
| 60.87% ( -0.51) | 39.13% ( 0.51) |
