J1 League | Gameweek 19
Jul 1, 2023 at 11am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium
We said: FC Tokyo 2-1 Kashiwa Reysol
Tokyo were at their best to beat third-placed Nagoya last weekend, and the Gas should be confident of easing past a Kashiwa side who have been conceding plenty of goals on their travels this term.
Kashiwa have failed to score in their last two matches after netting a remarkable 14 in the previous three - we are envisaging a difficult evening in Chofu for the visitors on Saturday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 53.69%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 21.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Kashiwa Reysol win it was 0-1 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Tokyo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Tokyo.
| Result |
| FC Tokyo | Draw | Kashiwa Reysol |
53.69% ( 0.4) | 25.03% ( -0.18) | 21.27% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 47.52% ( 0.22) |
| 45.75% ( 0.43) | 54.24% ( -0.44) |
| 24.35% ( 0.36) | 75.64% ( -0.36) |
| 79.81% ( 0.33) | 20.18% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.51% ( 0.53) | 52.48% ( -0.53) |
| 59.54% ( 0.02) | 40.45% ( -0.02) |
