SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 36.88%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 36.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kashiwa Reysol | Draw | FC Tokyo |
36.57% ( -0.07) | 26.55% ( -0.06) | 36.88% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 52.39% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.49% ( 0.26) | 52.51% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.82% ( 0.22) | 74.18% ( -0.22) |
| Kashiwa Reysol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.29% ( 0.09) | 27.71% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.73% ( 0.11) | 63.27% ( -0.1) |
| FC Tokyo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.47% ( 0.2) | 27.53% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.96% ( 0.26) | 63.04% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kashiwa Reysol | Draw | FC Tokyo |
| 1-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.89% Total : 36.57% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.94% Total : 36.88% |
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