Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 53.56%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 20.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.
3.65) 
-2.01) 
