Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 65.05%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 13.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.8%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.
-0.29) 
0.15) 
