Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.91%) and 2-1 (7.87%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 (11.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.