Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 45.72%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 27.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
-0.55) 
0.72) 
