Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 48.91%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 26.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vissel Kobe in this match.
-0.17) 
0.13) 
