Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 59.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 17.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.
0.21) 
-0.12) 
