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J1 League | Gameweek 25
Aug 26, 2023 at 10am UK
Kashima Soccer Stadium

Kashima Antlers
2 - 0
Albirex Niigata

Kakita (9'), Suzuki (30')
Suzuki (33')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Fujiwara (35')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashima Antlers and Albirex Niigata.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kashima Antlers 2-1 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, August 19 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 Albirex Niigata
Friday, August 18 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 52.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 21.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for an Albirex Niigata win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.

Result
Kashima AntlersDrawAlbirex Niigata
52.6% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 25.55% (0.096 0.1) 21.85% (-0.147 -0.15)
Both teams to score 46.79% (-0.443 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.39% (-0.493 -0.49)55.61% (0.493 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.23% (-0.403 -0.4)76.77% (0.40300000000001 0.4)
Kashima Antlers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.82% (-0.17700000000001 -0.18)21.18% (0.178 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.95% (-0.278 -0.28)54.05% (0.277 0.28)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.35% (-0.428 -0.43)40.65% (0.428 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.76% (-0.387 -0.39)77.24% (0.387 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Kashima Antlers 52.6%
    Albirex Niigata 21.85%
    Draw 25.54%
Kashima AntlersDrawAlbirex Niigata
1-0 @ 13.36% (0.18 0.18)
2-0 @ 10.37% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.37% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.83% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 52.6%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.61% (0.163 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 7.75% (0.056 0.06)
1-2 @ 5.41% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.49% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.63% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.05% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 21.85%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 2-1 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, August 19 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 2-1 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, August 19 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, August 13 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 3-0 Consadole
Sunday, August 6 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-3 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, July 16 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-1 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, July 8 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 Albirex Niigata
Friday, August 18 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-2 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, August 12 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, August 5 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 0-1 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, July 15 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 0-1 Vissel Kobe
Friday, July 7 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-0 Hiroshima
Saturday, July 1 at 10am in J1 League


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