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J1 League | Gameweek 23
Aug 13, 2023 at 10am UK
Minato Soccer Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
1 - 0
Kashima Antlers

Nogami (37')
Inagaki (85'), Fujii (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Anzai (28'), Pituca (90+3'), Fujii (90+1')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Kashima Antlers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, August 5 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 3-0 Consadole
Sunday, August 6 at 10am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 36.47%. A win for Kashima Antlers had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.67%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 (11.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawKashima Antlers
36.47% (0.0079999999999956 0.01) 28.53% (0.126 0.13) 35% (-0.135 -0.13)
Both teams to score 46.2% (-0.379 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.8% (-0.456 -0.46)60.2% (0.45500000000001 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.61% (-0.347 -0.35)80.39% (0.34599999999999 0.35)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.45% (-0.229 -0.23)31.55% (0.228 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.05% (-0.262 -0.26)67.95% (0.261 0.26)
Kashima Antlers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.5% (-0.324 -0.32)32.5% (0.323 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.97% (-0.365 -0.36)69.03% (0.364 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 36.46%
    Kashima Antlers 34.99%
    Draw 28.52%
Nagoya GrampusDrawKashima Antlers
1-0 @ 11.82% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 7.67% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.82% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.95% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.62% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 1.66% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 36.46%
1-1 @ 13.29% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 10.25% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.52%
0-1 @ 11.52% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 7.47% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.8% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.43% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 34.99%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, August 5 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 2-1 Nagoya Grampus
Sunday, July 16 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-2 Yokohama
Saturday, July 8 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-0 Kawasaki
Saturday, July 1 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, June 24 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, June 11 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 3-0 Consadole
Sunday, August 6 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-3 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, July 16 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-1 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, July 8 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 0-0 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, July 1 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 2-1 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, June 24 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-0 Shonan Bellmare
Sunday, June 11 at 10am in J1 League


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