J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jul 16, 2023 at 11am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium
We said: FC Tokyo 2-1 Kashima Antlers
FC Tokyo head into this weekend's encounter on a better run of results and coupled with the added advantage of playing on home turf, we are backing them to come away with all three points, albeit by only a narrow margin.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Kashima Antlers had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result |
| FC Tokyo | Draw | Kashima Antlers |
38.69% ( 0.04) | 28.63% ( -0.01) | 32.68% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 45.63% ( 0.02) |
| 39.23% ( 0.03) | 60.76% ( -0.03) |
| 19.18% ( 0.02) | 80.81% ( -0.02) |
| 69.53% ( 0.04) | 30.46% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.32% ( 0.05) | 66.68% ( -0.05) |
| 65.62% ( -0) | 34.37% ( 0) |
