Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 59.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 18.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.

Result
Kashima Antlers	Draw	Sagan Tosu
59.09% ( 0.1)	22.8% ( -0)	18.11% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 49.13% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.46% (

-0.13)

49.54% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.43% (

-0.11)

71.57% (

0.11)

Kashima Antlers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.57% (

-0.01)

16.43% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.9% (

-0.02)

46.1% (

0.02)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.78% (

-0.19)

41.21% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.25% (

-0.16)

77.75% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Kashima Antlers 59.08%

Sagan Tosu 18.11%

Draw 22.79%

Kashima Antlers	Draw	Sagan Tosu
1-0 @ 12.22% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.09% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 59.08%	1-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.85% Total : 22.79%	0-1 @ 6% 1-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.94% Total : 18.11%