SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 68.07%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 14.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 1-0 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Cerezo Osaka win it was 1-2 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
68.07% ( 0.18) | 17.82% ( -0.07) | 14.1% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 56.99% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.31% ( 0.05) | 34.68% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.36% ( 0.06) | 56.63% ( -0.06) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.68% ( 0.05) | 9.32% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.57% ( 0.13) | 31.43% ( -0.13) |
| Cerezo Osaka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.84% ( -0.12) | 37.16% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.05% ( -0.12) | 73.94% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
| 2-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8.22% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.24% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 4.59% Total : 68.07% | 1-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 17.82% | 1-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 14.1% |
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