Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.
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