Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 56.67%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 18.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Oita Trinita win it was 0-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.