Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 52.06%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 21.71%.
The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Oita Trinita win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Avispa Fukuoka in this match.