Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shonan Bellmare would win this match.
Result | ||
Shonan Bellmare | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
40.46% ( -0.32) | 27.46% ( 0.14) | 32.07% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 48.82% ( -0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.29% ( -0.48) | 56.7% ( 0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.34% ( -0.39) | 77.66% ( 0.39) |
Shonan Bellmare Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.52% ( -0.4) | 27.48% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.03% ( -0.52) | 62.97% ( 0.52) |
Sagan Tosu Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.32% ( -0.13) | 32.68% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.77% ( -0.14) | 69.23% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Shonan Bellmare | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
1-0 @ 11.59% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.93% Total : 40.45% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.46% | 0-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.62% Total : 32.07% |
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