SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shonan Bellmare would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shonan Bellmare | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
40.46% ( -0.32) | 27.46% ( 0.14) | 32.07% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 48.82% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.29% ( -0.48) | 56.7% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.34% ( -0.39) | 77.66% ( 0.39) |
| Shonan Bellmare Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.52% ( -0.4) | 27.48% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.03% ( -0.52) | 62.97% ( 0.52) |
| Sagan Tosu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.32% ( -0.13) | 32.68% ( 0.13) |
