Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 51.36%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 24.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.