Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 62.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 16.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Kashiwa Reysol win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.

Result
Yokohama F Marinos	Draw	Kashiwa Reysol
62.5% ( -6.08)	21.48% ( 2.16)	16.02% ( 3.92)

Both teams to score 49.04% (

3.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.52% (

-0.95)

47.48% (

0.96)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.31% (

-0.89)

69.69% (

0.89)

Yokohama F Marinos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.39% (

-2.11)

14.61% (

2.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.29% (

-4.23)

42.71% (

4.23)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.43% (

5.26)

42.57% (

-5.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.07% (

4.18)

78.93% (

-4.17)

Score Analysis

Yokohama F Marinos 62.49%

Kashiwa Reysol 16.02%

Draw 21.48%

Yokohama F Marinos	Draw	Kashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 11.96% ( -0.46) 2-0 @ 11.5% ( -1.42) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.29) 3-0 @ 7.38% ( -1.58) 3-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.31) 4-0 @ 3.55% ( -1.11) 4-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.41) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.25) 5-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.57) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.26) Other @ 2.43% Total : 62.49%	1-1 @ 10.21% ( 1.04) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.68) Other @ 0.85% Total : 21.48%	0-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.9) 1-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.98) 0-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.64) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.41) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.33) Other @ 1.65% Total : 16.02%