Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kyoto Sanga win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kyoto Sanga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Kyoto Sanga	Draw	Kashiwa Reysol
41.39% ( -0.24)	26.84% ( 0.14)	31.78% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 50.62% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.62% (

-0.51)

54.38% (

0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.24% (

-0.42)

75.76% (

0.42)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.1% (

-0.35)

25.9% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.12% (

-0.48)

60.88% (

0.48)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.3% (

-0.19)

31.69% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.88% (

-0.22)

68.11% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Kyoto Sanga 41.38%

Kashiwa Reysol 31.78%

Draw 26.83%

Kyoto Sanga	Draw	Kashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.49% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.27% Total : 41.38%	1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.83%	0-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.83% Total : 31.78%