Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 47.41%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Gamba Osaka	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
27% ( -0.04)	25.59% ( -0.05)	47.41% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 51.78% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.38% (

0.16)

51.62% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.59% (

0.14)

73.4% (

-0.14)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.19% (

0.05)

33.8% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.53% (

0.05)

70.47% (

-0.06)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.22% (

0.1)

21.78% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.02% (

0.16)

54.97% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Gamba Osaka 27%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 47.4%

Draw 25.59%

Gamba Osaka	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.6% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.39% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.57% ( -0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 27%	1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.59%	0-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.28% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.55% 1-3 @ 4.71% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.35% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 47.4%