SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 35.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gamba Osaka | Draw | Consadole Sapporo |
35.66% ( 0.98) | 25.68% ( -0.16) | 38.65% ( -0.83) |
| Both teams to score 55.26% ( 0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.16% ( 0.81) | 48.83% ( -0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.06% ( 0.73) | 70.93% ( -0.73) |
| Gamba Osaka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.5% ( 0.97) | 26.49% ( -0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.31% ( 1.27) | 61.68% ( -1.27) |
| Consadole Sapporo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.17% ( -0.07) | 24.82% ( 0.07) |
