Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Kyoto Sanga
38.48%	27.81%	33.71%

Both teams to score 48.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.31%

57.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.56%

78.44%

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.93%

29.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.01%

64.99%

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.93%

32.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.46%

68.54%

Score Analysis

Kashiwa Reysol 38.48%

Kyoto Sanga 33.7%

Draw 27.8%

Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Kyoto Sanga
1-0 @ 11.51% 2-1 @ 8.09% 2-0 @ 7.11% 3-1 @ 3.33% 3-0 @ 2.93% 3-2 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 1.03% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.67% Total : 38.48%	1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 9.32% 2-2 @ 4.6% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.8%	0-1 @ 10.6% 1-2 @ 7.45% 0-2 @ 6.03% 1-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.77% Total : 33.7%