J1 League | Gameweek 9
Apr 23, 2023 at 6am UK
Kyōto Nishikyogoku Stadium
Toyokawa (21'),
Kinoshita (90+2' pen.)
Ichimi (51')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kyoto Sanga and Sagan Tosu.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kyoto Sanga win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kyoto Sanga win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result |
| Kyoto Sanga | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
37.23% ( -0.19) | 26.89% ( 0.04) | 35.88% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 51.27% ( -0.11) |
| 46.08% ( -0.14) | 53.92% ( 0.14) |
| 24.63% ( -0.11) | 75.37% ( 0.12) |
| 72.01% ( -0.18) | 27.99% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.37% ( -0.22) | 63.63% ( 0.22) |
| 71.2% ( 0.02) | 28.8% ( -0.02) |
