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J1 League | Gameweek 5
Mar 18, 2023 at 6am UK
Best Amenity Stadium

Sagan Tosu
0 - 1
Vissel Kobe


Yamazaki (27')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Izumi (22')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Vissel Kobe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerezo 2-1 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, March 12 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-1 Urawa
Saturday, March 11 at 5am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vissel Kobe in this match.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawVissel Kobe
34.64% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08) 26.3% (0.11 0.11) 39.06% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 53.06% (-0.37 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.4% (-0.47199999999999 -0.47)51.6% (0.472 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.62% (-0.412 -0.41)73.38% (0.41200000000001 0.41)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.57% (-0.274 -0.27)28.43% (0.275 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.82% (-0.346 -0.35)64.19% (0.347 0.35)
Vissel Kobe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.13% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)25.87% (0.235 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.15% (-0.318 -0.32)60.85% (0.319 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 34.64%
    Vissel Kobe 39.06%
    Draw 26.29%
Sagan TosuDrawVissel Kobe
1-0 @ 9.25% (0.103 0.1)
2-1 @ 7.87% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.82% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.3% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 34.64%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.35% (0.138 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 9.94% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 8.46% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.72% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.81% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.03% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 39.06%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Cerezo 2-1 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, March 12 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, March 4 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-1 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, February 25 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-5 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, February 18 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 2-2 Hiroshima
Saturday, November 5 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 3-0 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, October 29 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-1 Urawa
Saturday, March 11 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 4-0 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, March 4 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 1-3 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, February 25 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, February 18 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 1-3 Yokohama
Saturday, November 5 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 2-1 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, October 29 at 7am in J1 League


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