Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.52%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (12.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Sagan Tosu	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
33.01% ( 0.01)	29.51% ( 0.02)	37.48% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 43.3% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.35% (

-0.07)

63.65% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.07% (

-0.05)

82.93% (

0.05)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.31% (

-0.03)

35.69% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.54% (

-0.03)

72.46% (

0.04)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.32% (

-0.05)

32.68% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.77% (

-0.05)

69.23% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Sagan Tosu 33%

Nagoya Grampus 37.48%

Draw 29.51%

Sagan Tosu	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 12.01% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.92% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.19% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.38% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.13% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 33%	1-1 @ 13.44% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.66% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.51%	0-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.29% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 37.48%