J1 League | Gameweek 3
Mar 4, 2023 at 6am UK
Best Amenity Stadium
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Nagoya Grampus.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.52%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (12.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result |
| Sagan Tosu | Draw | Nagoya Grampus |
33.01% ( 0.01) | 29.51% ( 0.02) | 37.48% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 43.3% ( -0.05) |
| 36.35% ( -0.07) | 63.65% ( 0.07) |
| 17.07% ( -0.05) | 82.93% ( 0.05) |
| 64.31% ( -0.03) | 35.69% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.54% ( -0.03) | 72.46% ( 0.04) |
| 67.32% ( -0.05) | 32.68% ( 0.05) |
