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J1 League | Gameweek 7
Apr 9, 2023 at 6am UK
EDION Stadium

Hiroshima
1 - 0
Sagan Tosu

Vieira (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Naganuma (74')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Sagan Tosu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-2 Hiroshima
Saturday, April 1 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-0 FC Tokyo
Saturday, April 1 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 58.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 19.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this match.

Result
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawSagan Tosu
58.35% (-0.439 -0.44) 22.09% (0.128 0.13) 19.56% (0.309 0.31)
Both teams to score 53.93% (0.105 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.58% (-0.119 -0.12)44.42% (0.119 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.21% (-0.116 -0.12)66.79% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.08% (-0.18299999999999 -0.18)14.92% (0.183 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.7% (-0.346 -0.35)43.3% (0.345 0.34)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.39% (0.25700000000001 0.26)36.61% (-0.259 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.6% (0.259 0.26)73.4% (-0.259 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 58.35%
    Sagan Tosu 19.56%
    Draw 22.09%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 10.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.89% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
3-1 @ 6.3% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.27% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.17%
4-1 @ 3% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.98% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.14% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 58.35%
1-1 @ 10.44% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.46% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.09%
0-1 @ 5.49% (0.067 0.07)
1-2 @ 5.25% (0.067 0.07)
0-2 @ 2.76% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.76% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.92% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 19.56%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-2 Hiroshima
Saturday, April 1 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-0 Reysol
Sunday, March 19 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-2 Hiroshima
Sunday, March 12 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 1-1 Hiroshima
Friday, March 3 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-2 Albirex Niigata
Sunday, February 26 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 0-0 Consadole
Saturday, February 18 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-0 FC Tokyo
Saturday, April 1 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-1 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, March 18 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-1 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, March 12 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, March 4 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-1 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, February 25 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-5 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, February 18 at 6am in J1 League


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