Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kyoto Sanga win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kyoto Sanga win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.59%) and 2-1 (7.51%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (12.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kyoto Sanga would win this match.

Result
Kyoto Sanga	Draw	Sagan Tosu
38.34%	29.83%	31.84%

Both teams to score 42.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.19%

64.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.24%

83.76%

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.25%

32.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.69%

69.31%

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.82%

37.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.03%

73.96%

Score Analysis

Kyoto Sanga 38.33%

Sagan Tosu 31.83%

Draw 29.81%

Kyoto Sanga	Draw	Sagan Tosu
1-0 @ 13.59% 2-0 @ 7.59% 2-1 @ 7.51% 3-0 @ 2.82% 3-1 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.65% Total : 38.33%	1-1 @ 13.44% 0-0 @ 12.17% 2-2 @ 3.71% Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.81%	0-1 @ 12.04% 1-2 @ 6.65% 0-2 @ 5.96% 1-3 @ 2.2% 0-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.79% Total : 31.83%