Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Sagan Tosu	Draw	Kashiwa Reysol
39.46% ( 0)	28.02% ( -0)	32.52% ( -0)

Both teams to score 47.32% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.35% (

0.01)

58.65% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.8% (

79.2% (

-0.01)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.02% (

28.98% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.13% (

0.01)

64.87% (

-0.01)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.62% (

33.38% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30% (

70% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Sagan Tosu 39.46%

Kashiwa Reysol 32.52%

Draw 28.01%

Sagan Tosu	Draw	Kashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 11.98% 2-1 @ 8.14% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.42% 3-1 @ 3.36% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.06% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.84% 4-1 @ 1.04% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.66% Total : 39.46%	1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 9.67% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0) Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.01%	0-1 @ 10.61% 1-2 @ 7.21% 0-2 @ 5.82% 1-3 @ 2.64% 0-3 @ 2.13% 2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 32.52%