Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 51.98%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 23.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Sagan Tosu	Draw	Kyoto Sanga
51.98% ( -0.01)	24.45% ( 0.01)	23.56% ( -0)

Both teams to score 52% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.26% (

-0.08)

49.73% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.26% (

-0.07)

71.74% (

0.06)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.89% (

-0.04)

19.11% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.26% (

-0.06)

50.73% (

0.05)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.29% (

-0.05)

35.71% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.52% (

-0.05)

72.48% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Sagan Tosu 51.98%

Kyoto Sanga 23.57%

Draw 24.44%

Sagan Tosu	Draw	Kyoto Sanga
1-0 @ 11.29% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.16% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 3.06% Total : 51.98%	1-1 @ 11.62% 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.44%	0-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.99% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.62% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 1.93% Total : 23.57%