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J1 League | Gameweek 32
Oct 16, 2021 at 6am UK
Tosu Stadium

Sagan Tosu
1 - 1
Shonan Bellmare

Sakai (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Machino (19')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Shonan Bellmare.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawShonan Bellmare
45.48%27.12%27.4%
Both teams to score 47.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.8%57.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.95%78.05%
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.91%25.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.22%59.78%
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.52%36.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.73%73.27%
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 45.48%
    Shonan Bellmare 27.4%
    Draw 27.11%
Sagan TosuDrawShonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 12.65%
2-1 @ 8.82%
2-0 @ 8.75%
3-1 @ 4.07%
3-0 @ 4.03%
3-2 @ 2.05%
4-1 @ 1.41%
4-0 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 45.48%
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 9.15%
2-2 @ 4.45%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.11%
0-1 @ 9.23%
1-2 @ 6.44%
0-2 @ 4.65%
1-3 @ 2.16%
0-3 @ 1.56%
2-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 27.4%

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