Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 36.4%. A win for Tokushima Vortis had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Tokushima Vortis win was 1-0 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
