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J1 League | Gameweek 31
Oct 3, 2021 at 5am UK
 

Tokushima Vortis
3 - 0
Sagan Tosu

Kakita (15', 41'), Bakenga (60')
Nishiya (59')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Shirasaki (44')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Tokushima Vortis and Sagan Tosu.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 36.4%. A win for Tokushima Vortis had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Tokushima Vortis win was 1-0 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Tokushima VortisDrawSagan Tosu
34.92%28.68%36.4%
Both teams to score 45.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.25%60.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.2%80.8%
Tokushima Vortis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.16%32.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.6%69.4%
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.13%31.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.68%68.31%
Score Analysis
    Tokushima Vortis 34.91%
    Sagan Tosu 36.39%
    Draw 28.67%
Tokushima VortisDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 11.65%
2-1 @ 7.42%
2-0 @ 6.49%
3-1 @ 2.76%
3-0 @ 2.41%
3-2 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 34.91%
1-1 @ 13.32%
0-0 @ 10.46%
2-2 @ 4.24%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.67%
0-1 @ 11.96%
1-2 @ 7.62%
0-2 @ 6.84%
1-3 @ 2.9%
0-3 @ 2.61%
2-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 36.39%

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