Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 44.57%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Yokohama FC had a probability of 27.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Yokohama FC win it was 0-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.