Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 42.79%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 27.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 2-1 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this match.
