Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 57.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 18.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Kashiwa Reysol win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this match.

Result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Kashiwa Reysol
57.99% ( 0.24)	23.37% ( -0.01)	18.64% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 48.37% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.95% (

-0.28)

51.05% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.09% (

-0.25)

72.91% (

0.24)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.65% (

-0.02)

17.35% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.26% (

-0.03)

47.73% (

0.02)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.52% (

-0.43)

41.48% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.02% (

-0.38)

77.98% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 57.99%

Kashiwa Reysol 18.64%

Draw 23.37%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Kashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 12.6% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 57.99%	1-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.81% Total : 23.37%	0-1 @ 6.33% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.96% Total : 18.64%