Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 50.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 23.14%.
The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it was 0-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.