Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 63.31%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 15.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.84%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it was 1-0 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.
0) 
-0.03) 
