J1 League | Gameweek 23
Jul 14, 2024 at 10am UK
Toyota Stadium
We said: Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Kashiwa Reysol
Nagoya Grampus have been tumbling in the league standings in recent weeks but will see this as a genuine opportunity to snap out of their funk. However, the visitors are in a good bit of form right now and will also feel that they can take something from this match given their opponents' recent performances.
There is very little to separate these sides in the league standings at present and we feel there will be nothing to separate them at the full-time whistle in this match as well.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result |
| Nagoya Grampus | Draw | Kashiwa Reysol |
30.63% ( -0.67) | 27.9% ( 0.15) | 41.47% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 47.05% ( -0.68) |
| 41.3% ( -0.74) | 58.7% ( 0.74) |
| 20.77% ( -0.58) | 79.23% ( 0.58) |
| 65.23% ( -0.88) | 34.77% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.5% ( -0.95) | 71.5% ( 0.95) |
| 72.13% ( -0.06) | 27.86% ( 0.07) |
