Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Urawa Red Diamonds
31.58% ( -2.98)	28.04% ( -0.28)	40.38% ( 3.25)

Both teams to score 46.98% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.05% (

0.52)

58.95% (

-0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.57% (

0.4)

79.43% (

-0.4)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.79% (

-1.79)

34.21% (

1.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.1% (

-1.97)

70.9% (

1.97)

Urawa Red Diamonds Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.41% (

2.18)

28.59% (

-2.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.61% (

2.65)

64.39% (

-2.65)

Score Analysis

Nagoya Grampus 31.57%

Urawa Red Diamonds 40.38%

Draw 28.04%

Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Urawa Red Diamonds
1-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.74) 2-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.41) 2-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.7) 3-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.28) 3-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.37) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.3% Total : 31.57%	1-1 @ 13.13% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.04%	0-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.49) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0.42) 0-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.74) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.37) 0-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.48) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.17) 0-4 @ 1% ( 0.2) Other @ 1.7% Total : 40.38%