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J1 League | Gameweek 24
Aug 18, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Saitama Stadium 2002

Urawa
1 - 0
Nagoya Grampus

Kante (11')
Koizumi (21'), Hoibraten (45'), Okubo (60'), Linssen (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kawazura (16'), Maruyama (76')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Urawa Red Diamonds and Nagoya Grampus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hiroshima 2-1 Urawa
Sunday, August 13 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, August 13 at 10am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 45.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 27.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 0-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Urawa Red Diamonds in this match.

Result
Urawa Red DiamondsDrawNagoya Grampus
45.64% (0.47 0.47) 27.28% (-0.375 -0.38) 27.07% (-0.102 -0.1)
Both teams to score 46.89% (0.954 0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.03% (1.253 1.25)57.97% (-1.256 -1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.33% (0.977 0.98)78.67% (-0.98099999999999 -0.98)
Urawa Red Diamonds Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.64% (0.80500000000001 0.81)25.35% (-0.81 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.85% (1.093 1.09)60.14% (-1.098 -1.1)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.82% (0.604 0.6)37.17% (-0.609 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.04% (0.595 0.59)73.96% (-0.599 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    Urawa Red Diamonds 45.64%
    Nagoya Grampus 27.07%
    Draw 27.28%
Urawa Red DiamondsDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 12.93% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-0 @ 8.87% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.78% (0.132 0.13)
3-0 @ 4.06% (0.087 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.02% (0.151 0.15)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.106 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.39% (0.062 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.38% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 45.64%
1-1 @ 12.79% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 9.43% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.136 0.14)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 9.33% (-0.295 -0.3)
1-2 @ 6.33% (0.054 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.61% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.09% (0.052 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.43% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 27.07%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hiroshima 2-1 Urawa
Sunday, August 13 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 0-0 Yokohama
Sunday, August 6 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-0 Urawa
Sunday, July 16 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 0-0 FC Tokyo
Saturday, July 8 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-2 Urawa
Saturday, July 1 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 4-1 Shonan Bellmare
Wednesday, June 28 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, August 13 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, August 5 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 2-1 Nagoya Grampus
Sunday, July 16 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-2 Yokohama
Saturday, July 8 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-0 Kawasaki
Saturday, July 1 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, June 24 at 11am in J1 League


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