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J1 League | Gameweek 24
Jul 20, 2024 at 11am UK
NOEVIR Stadium Kobe

Vissel Kobe
3 - 3
Nagoya Grampus

Sasaki (33'), Yamauchi (90'), Kikuchi (90+3')
Yamauchi (90+5'), Maekawa (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Patric (22'), Inagaki (54', 90+10' pen.)
Chang-Rae (90+2')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Vissel Kobe and Nagoya Grampus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Consadole 1-1 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, July 13 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Reysol
Sunday, July 14 at 10am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 46.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 26.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Vissel KobeDrawNagoya Grampus
46.78% (-0.85 -0.85) 27.18% (0.334 0.33) 26.03% (0.517 0.52)
Both teams to score 46.42% (-0.501 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.79% (-0.852 -0.85)58.21% (0.852 0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.15% (-0.674 -0.67)78.85% (0.673 0.67)
Vissel Kobe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.1% (-0.783 -0.78)24.9% (0.782 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.48% (-1.1 -1.1)59.52% (1.1 1.1)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.81% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)38.19% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.05% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)74.95% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Vissel Kobe 46.78%
    Nagoya Grampus 26.03%
    Draw 27.18%
Vissel KobeDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 13.22% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 9.19% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-1 @ 8.85% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-0 @ 4.26% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-1 @ 4.1% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.48% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 46.78%
1-1 @ 12.72% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 9.51% (0.303 0.3)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 9.15% (0.287 0.29)
1-2 @ 6.13% (0.053 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.41% (0.136 0.14)
1-3 @ 1.97% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.37% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 26.03%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Consadole 1-1 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, July 13 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 1-1 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, July 13 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-3 Vissel Kobe
Friday, July 5 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 3-1 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, June 30 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-0 Machida Zelvia
Wednesday, June 26 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 2-1 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, June 22 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Reysol
Sunday, July 14 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, July 6 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-1 Nagoya Grampus
Sunday, June 30 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-1 Urawa
Wednesday, June 26 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, June 22 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Shonan Bellmare
Sunday, June 16 at 10.45am in J1 League


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